Southern Ocean Projections Explorer
Results from the Southern Ocean Marine Ecosystem Model Ensemble (SOMEME)
Mean change in marine biomass for the selected scenario and time frame.
Mean percentage change in marine biomass (1950- 2100) relative to the historical reference period (2005-2014) derived from the FishMIP model ensemble under two emissions scenarios: SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5. Shaded areas show the standard deviation across the 10 marine ecosystem models included in the ensemble.
Mean marine biomass over the historical period (1961-2010) for the selected scenario and time frame.
The black line in the time series plot shown below represents the area-weighted annual mean between 1961 and 2010 (historical period) for the variable, model, resolution, and area of interest selected on the right panel.
This interactive tool allows users to visualise changes in projected fish biomass under different emissions scenarios in the waters surrounding the Antarctic continent. Projections are based on the FishMIP (Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project) ensemble of 10 global marine ecosystem models.
The Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project (FishMIP) is an network of more than 100 marine ecosystem modellers and researchers from around the world. Our goal is to bring together our collective understanding to help better project the long-term impacts of climate change on fisheries and marine ecosystems, and to use our findings to help inform policy. You can find more information about FishMIP on our website.
You can download the data used to create the plots shown in this interactive tool using the 'Download' button included under each tab. All data in this tool is available under an open licence ( CC-BY-SA-4.0 ). Under this licence, you are allowed to use, share, and modify our data, but one of the conditions of use is attribution (i.e., provide appropriate credit to data creators). We recommend the following citations:
For questions or feedback about this tool, please contact the FishMIP team. Alternatively, we encourage users to report potential errors or omissions through our GitHub issues page.
This tool was developed to support understanding of climate change impacts on Antarctic marine ecosystems. We acknowledge the FishMIP community and all contributing modelling groups.
This research was supported by the Australian Research Council Special Research Initiative, Australian Centre for Excellence in Antarctic Science. This work contributes to the Australian Antarctic Program Partnership funded under the Australian Government’s Antarctic Science Collaboration Initiative programme. This work contributes to delivering the Australian Antarctic Science Decadal Strategy.
Download comprehensive summary statistics for all regions, scenarios, and time periods.
Download Summary Statistics